Trying to get back to stories that have little or nothing to do with the virus (this one will, unfortunately, talk a bit more about it than the others of a similar nature), we have a story relating to what someone believes will be the outcome of the 2020 presidential election come November. The interesting thing about it, however, is that the one believing Trump will win re-election is far from a Right-winger and Trump supporter. It’s actually David Plouffe, Barack Obama’s former campaign manager.
Speaking on the “Fox News Rundown” podcast last Thursday, Plouffe said: “You look at the economic situation and say, ‘How can an incumbent win in that?’ But, you know, no one’s blaming Trump for the damage…. I think if you can lay his crisis response at his feet and connect that to the economy, I do think that’s some headwind he’s got to run into.”
“But,” he continued, “almost no matter what happens, [the question is] can Donald Trump win Wisconsin? Can he win Michigan? Can he win Pennsylvania? Can he win Florida? Sure, because his base is so solid. And I think he’s going to turn out voters almost at a historical level on his behalf, so that makes him very dangerous if you’re Joe Biden.”
Interesting what he considers to be Trump’s big advantage going into the election. Usually, when an incumbent president does a poor job with the economy, they do not get a second term (Obama is an exception to this rule, of course). That’s why Trump was so invincible before this whole pandemic began. You could say whatever you wanted about things with North Korea or Iran or China, and you could say whatever you want about other aspects of his leadership as POTUS (I would still argue he has been doing a fantastic job in all of these regards), but absolutely no one could realistically argue that he is not a good economics president.
Before this whole pandemic started (and as I said in the previous article, I attribute our poor economic conditions to our response to the virus rather than on the virus alone), we were seeing great unemployment numbers, wages were going up, consumer confidence reaching new highs, unemployment rates reaching new lows and people becoming wealthier. The Trump economy was nearly unstoppable and only a pandemic like this (and again, largely our response to it) could possibly bring it down.
Unfortunately, the situation is that it is being taken down and if we don’t act soon, it will take a very long time for us to recover, as I have said in the past. But the good news for Trump is that people aren’t blaming him for this.
The Left had been hoping for this kind of recession for a long time now, but they expected to be able to place the blame entirely on Trump. Now, I don’t doubt they will try and do that because these people pervert the truth at every opportunity, but Trump has a very strong case in his favor as to why he is not to blame.
For one, the economy was doing phenomenal before this started. An outside factor is what slowed it down.
But more importantly, many of the economic decisions made that have slowed down the country like this have not been made by Trump. The states have some level of free will, thanks to the 10th amendment, so they could work independently from the federal government. As such, states have opted to shut things down and only allow “essential” businesses to operate. What the president can do is try and encourage states to ease up on these restrictions (particularly as many are outright unconstitutional, since the government can’t arbitrarily order any business to shut down just like that) but he can’t control the states (which is an overall good thing, even if a tad inconvenient right now).
It’s not the policies the president had been setting for the past three years that are to blame for this. It’s factors outside of the president’s control that are the cause.
As far as his handling of the virus goes, let’s not forget that when the Democrats were trying to impeach and remove Trump and were thinking up of more ways to try and kick him out of office, Trump established the Coronavirus Task Force and instituted travel restrictions to and from China. The same restrictions that Democrats, the least of which being his likely electoral opponent Joe Biden, called “xenophobic”.
During a debate shortly after the travel restrictions were put in place, Bernie said he wouldn’t close the border to combat the virus. Neither of Trump’s possible electoral opponents would stand a chance against Trump when it comes to response to the virus because Trump acted quickly and efficiently, when both Bernie and Joe declared him a racist for doing what he did.
If you remember, a recent Pew Research poll found that 95% of surveyors agreed that travel restrictions were a good idea. Travel restrictions that both Joe and Bernie are on record saying they wouldn’t have implemented.
Not to mention that the media was basically saying that the seasonal flu was more dangerous than the Wuhan virus, so they also have no credibility to try and attack Trump regarding his response to the crisis.
What’s more, a recent ABC News/WaPo poll shows that 52% of surveyors trust Trump to handle the economy over 42% who trust Biden, and 47% trust Trump more to handle the coronavirus outbreak over the 43% who trust Biden.
Trump also has an advantage over Biden in terms of speaking to the public. While Trump speaks to the American people every single day to provide updates on the virus (and I wish he would also provide updates about reopening the country), all Joe can do is give an occasional interview with someone on the fake news media and hold Facebook livestreams that are not exactly popular.
Now, I would like to mention that we are still a good bit away from the election. Unfortunately, things could really turn for the worst, particularly if people like Fauci and Birx naively (at best) keep advising Trump to not care about the economy and force things to remain like this for months on end. At one point or another, people might actually begin blaming Trump, regardless of whether or not he actually bears the blame.
Which is why I continue to insist that the economy be allowed to be opened back up, at least for those who are able to work and are not at a high risk of death. As I have said time and time again, this shut down is not a viable option. This is like burning the house down to kill a spider. Sure, the virus is serious, but the economy failing this catastrophically is considerably worse.
David Plouffe believes all Trump needs is his supporters to come out in droves to vote for him. Joe Biden is a weak candidate, but people might not turn out to vote if we aren’t even allowed to (and I fear the obvious voting fraud the Left will try and pull with mail-in votes).
I will vote for Trump no matter what, but I would like to see him regain control of his administration and put his foot down. Otherwise, we might as well begin calling them President Fauci and Vice President Birx.
“Behold, I have given you authority to tread on serpents and scorpions, and over all the power of the enemy, and nothing shall hurt you.”
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