I have pointed this out many times in the past, but it is particularly worth repeating here: A common tactic by Leftist polls is to oversample Democrats, undersample Republicans, or do both, in an effort to fool the public into believing that a Democrat candidate is ahead by a massive margin.
They did this all throughout 2016, have been doing this throughout 2020 and most recently, an NBC/WSJ poll had Biden leading Trump by 14 points, and shown widening his lead against the president. That poll showed that they sampled 35% of Democrats and 38% of Independents, compared to just 27% of Republicans. When you have 8% more Democrats than Republicans, of course you will see numbers like this.
And it’s all by design. The purpose is to make it look like Trump is blowing it so badly and he has no shot whatsoever at getting re-elected, so you Trump supporters might as well just stay at home on election day because you would just be wasting your time voting for someone who is only going to end up losing. As I have pointed out before, that is a bit of a double-edged sword because if enough Democrats also believe the polls, they will think that Biden is destined to win and there is no point in them going out to vote when it is guaranteed that Biden would win. Not to mention that maybe some Trump supporters might foolishly believe this (none of you folks who are reading this, as you are far too smart to fall for this b.s.) but far more will be fired up about voting for Trump and will encourage those close to them to vote for Trump because “it will be a hard-fought battle but a winnable one too”.
Some people look at themselves being behind and it fires them up to try harder.
But at any rate, we all know that the vast majority of these Left-wing polls are rigged in favor of the Democrats and always either oversample Democrats or undersample Republicans (not to mention that there might be some shy voters out there who intend to vote for Trump but fear retaliation for expressing such a desire). However, a recent Sunday Express/Democracy Institute poll shows Trump AHEAD of Biden nationally and in battleground states, giving Trump the electoral college advantage.
The Express reported that the poll “shows that Mr. Trump is still on course for victory with 46 percent of the popular support compared to his Democrat rival Joe Biden’s 45 percent… The poll was completed after the news broke out that President Trump and his wife Melania have been infected with Covid-19.”
“But 68 percent said the illness would not affect their vote while 19 percent said they were ‘more likely’ to support Trump and only 13 percent ‘less likely’. Almost two thirds said they felt sympathy and concern for the President while 38 percent said him getting the disease was ‘karma’ in an indication of the current divisive nature of US politics.”
I’ll say. A Morning Consult/Politico poll showed 40% of Democrats were “happy” to hear that Trump caught the Chinese coronavirus. These people are hateful, sick, deprived individuals who are the very things that they claim to stand against: hateful bigots. Thankfully, it seems that most people are common, decent people who are either sympathetic with the president or are in some way concerned for the president upon hearing the news, so that’s good.
At any rate, the Express continues: “Crucially, Mr. Trump’s lead in key swing states including Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin remains at 4 percent by 47 percent 43 percent [sic.].”
“This gives a projected Electoral College split of 320 to Trump and 218 to Biden,” the report continued.
An important aspect of this poll, which The Express pointed out, is that the survey was conducted on likely voters as opposed to other polls which usually survey registered voters. Likely voters are a better indication because someone could be registered to vote and might have an opinion to share, but that does not necessarily mean they are going to go out and vote accordingly.
The poll also shows Trump at a 50% approval to 48% disapproval, and most impressively, shows Trump with 18% of the black vote and 40% of Hispanics. In terms of enthusiasm, which is another big indicator, 83% of Trump voters are enthused about going out to vote for him while only 49% of Biden voters are enthused about voting for the Democrat, as well as the fact that 59% of Biden voters only intend to vote for Biden in order to vote against Trump while 86% of Trump voters will vote for the president in support of him as opposed to voting against Biden.
This is among the biggest reasons as to why Biden can’t draw flies to his rallies. If he could have massive rallies like Trump, he would have them. He may excuse his extremely small rallies as simply him trying to “limit the size of the crowds in order to not spread COVID,” but we all know that Biden doesn’t care about people’s health and if he could draw massive crowds of people like Trump can, he would not be shy about showcasing them, particularly knowing that the media won’t lambast him for doing the exact same thing that Trump does.
One last thing I will quickly point out about the poll before I get to the political split in the sample is that the poll asked the following question: “Which phrase better fits your own thinking about race in America: Black Lives Matter or All Lives Matter?”
26% said Black Lives Matter and 74% said All Lives Matter, which brings a smile to my face. Those two are not mutually exclusive, as black lives are naturally included in “all” lives, but one of my issues with the phrase “black lives matter” is that, while undoubtedly true, it excludes other people’s lives. Many might not intend to do that, but some do, particularly when the people that scream “black lives matter” also scream “all cops are bastards” and “kill cops.”
This particular question doesn’t have too much to do with Trump or the election (though it does in terms of which side is willing to say which phrase and which one better fits one’s belief system), but I thought I should point this out. They are loud but not in the majority, not even close.
At any rate, the political split in the sample goes as follows: 37% Democrat, 35% Republican and 28% Independent.
While they still sampled more Democrats than Republicans, it isn’t by such a massive margin as to be blatantly obvious that they want the Democrat to have better numbers. But even with this slight advantage to the Democrats, Trump still leads (not by a lot, but this is a far different story than what the rest of the fake news media is trying to tell) and is still on track to get re-elected.
Provided whatever cheating the Democrats attempt to do doesn’t work out how they intend it to, I expect Trump to serve another four years… and then another four… and then another four.
I joke of course, but I do believe he will win this election. However, as I always say, that does not give people license to not go out to vote for the guy. Don’t think that just because one poll is actually fair and shows Trump winning that that means we can just relax and take it easy. The poll itself pointed out early on that Trump slipped two percentage points since the last poll they did in September, so all Trump supporters need to do what we can to get the guy re-elected, not only for his sake but all of America’s sake.
With Trump, we will easily see America being made great again as we recover from the pandemic (we already are seeing some of that). I don’t think I need to remind you all how catastrophic it would be for this country if the Trojan horse of a candidate that is Joe Biden manages to win.
“The Lord will cause your enemies who rise against you to be defeated before you. They shall come out against you one way and flee before you seven ways.”
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