Every summer, the Left tries to make the claim that this year’s heat waves have been the worst on record and it is all our fault and we must elect more Democrats and give Democrat organizations more money to combat climate change. Every winter, they claim it’s the coldest winter to date and we must elect Democrats who will change course. If these idiots haven’t realized they’re talking about the changing seasons, there is little hope.
Still, there are some climate scientists who are not paid off by George Soros and the Democrat Party to make outrageous and often scientifically inaccurate claims about the changing climate of our planet. One such noted climate scientist is Dr. Roy W. Spencer, who often tries to put the brakes in people’s climate change hysteria by offering more accurate data.
Most recently, Dr. Spencer wrote an article challenging the message of a memo released by Public Citizen, a George Soros funded “consumer rights advocacy group”. In his article, Dr. Spencer shows graphs about New York’s maximum temperature for every June since 1895 (a figure from the NOAA) all the way to last year. The figure shows that the median temperature from 1901-2000 is 74.9 degrees Fahrenheit. It also shows that last year’s maximum temperature was LESS than 74.9 degrees.
According to Dr. Spencer: “The long term trend is not statistically different from zero.” In other words, New York’s maximum temperature last year is so close to the median, it’s statistically DEAD-SET on the median.
Dr. Spencer then mentioned: “The memo also made mention of the widespread record warmth the U.S. experienced in May, 2018. New York had its 7th warmest May on record this year, and the long-term linear warming trend there since 1895 is weak (0.22 F/decade) and not statistically different from zero at the 95% confidence level. The May warmth in the U.S. was regional, as expected for weather variations, with much of Canada being exceedingly cold.”
And with the Left’s constant talks about this year being hotter than the last, Dr. Spencer makes quick mention of New York’s record high temperature of 109 degrees Fahrenheit. Take a guess as to when the state set this record. Surely, with all the talks about climate change, it must have happened in the last 20, 30 years tops, right? If the world is basically burning, we must be seeing record highs in a small timeframe, correct?
Not quite. It was on July 22nd, 1926 in Troy, New York. Over NINETY years ago. Do you want to know from what year it’s agreed (by the climate change community) substantial human-caused warming began? 1950, 24 years AFTER New York’s record high temperature.
So even they don’t have any argument that humans caused New York’s record high temperature. Thus, the only other possible contributor to the Earth’s change in climate is God. I know mentioning God in any scientific topic is taboo, for some reason, but let’s be honest here: nothing in this universe happens without God’s approval. That includes the Earth getting warmer or cooler.
But returning to New York, what’s more interesting is that the state’s record coldest temperature is far more recent. The state’s record low temperature is -52 degrees Fahrenheit. (If you thought 52 degrees was chilly, try its ONE HUNDRED AND FOUR DEGREES LESS!). This was on Feb. 18, 1979 in Old Forge, New York.
Now, if you want to talk about last week’s heat wave, Dr. Spencer has that covered, using the NOAA’s GFS forecast model for 5-day average temperatures. Dr. Spencer mentions: “… the excessive heat is (again) regionally isolated, which is exactly what we expect for weather… not for climate change.”
What the good doctor is saying here is that weather, even extreme weather, tends to affect specific regions. The concept of climate change only talks about global climate. Meaning that, under climate change, you would not have regional heat waves. You would have global-scale heat waves, which are not happening. The NOAA’s forecast shows that much of the southern states and west coast states are considerably colder.
Of course, that’s just the forecast. Let’s see what actually happened. According to Oregon State University’s Prism temperature analysis for July 1-2 (Dr. Spencer’s article was written on July 3rd) shows a similar picture to the forecast, although more of the southern states were covered in the heat wave and more of the Midwest avoided the heat wave (which was forecasted to hit them). This shows a couple of things.
First, this shows a temporary and localized weather pattern, again, contradicting the idea that we are suffering under climate change conditions (it would be warm everywhere, not just parts of the U.S.)
And second, it shows the inaccuracies and flaws with our current weather forecasting systems. The NOAA’s forecast showed more of the Midwest covered by the heat wave. According to what actually happened, that was erroneous. That doesn’t necessarily discredit the NOAA’s forecasting system, but it does show its flaws and inaccuracies.
What I’m trying to say here is that our current forecasting system can’t accurately predict the weather within a week, or even within a few days. But somehow, we can predict our Earth’s climate and state 50 to 100 years from now? At least when the Left was trying to predict 10 years down the road (still being completely wrong), they could be at least somewhat more believable (except when they would say all sea life would die and the ice caps will melt within that timeframe). But 50 to 100 years? Who could possibly accurately predict that? It’s just wild guesses to profit the Democrat Party and Democrat-affiliated organizations. Not to mention filling George Soros’ pockets.
Dr. Spencer then shows extreme high temperatures for the entire country from 1895 to 2017. The figure he shares (based from NOAA data) shows that there is no trend towards more hot days. In fact, 11 of 12 hottest years happened before 1960. The graph shows that the record high for days spent in a year with temperatures above 100 degrees was in 1935, with the second highest occurring a couple of years earlier and the third highest occurring in 1955. For 2017, we had (statistically) just over 4 days of temperatures over 100 degrees, and that’s the highest in roughly five years.
Finally, Dr. Spencer talks about renewable energy that the Public Citizen memo claims we can achieve with today’s technology (meaning today’s technology allowing 80 to 100% of our energy coming from renewable sources). Dr. Spencer (and logic) informs us that “this is patently false. Solar and wind are relatively diffuse (and thus expensive) sources of energy which are intermittent, requiring fossil fuel (or nuclear) backup. It would be exceedingly expensive to get even 50% of our energy from such sources.”
Of course, this is nothing new to us. We’ve known for ages that renewable energy is crazy expensive that would not get us anywhere near as much energy production as we do now. But it’s always good to see a climate scientist saying that renewable energy sources, as of right now at least, are simply too expensive and would be ultimately detrimental to people (even Dr. Spencer mentions that striving for using renewable energy right now would “worsen poverty” and would ultimately harm a lot of people).
Overall, it’s good to see a climate scientist calling out the Left’s hysteria when it comes to climate change. Usually, things aren’t even half as bad as these people claim they are. But hey, they need voters and the environment is so far the only thing they’ve got going for themselves since the economy is roaring, ISIS is defeated (pretty much), North Korea is looking to denuclearize and people are feeling confident about the future.
Wait, you’re telling me the Weekly Standard reported that greenhouse emissions in the U.S. are falling due to the falling costs of renewable energy and natural gas? And that U.S. carbon dioxide emissions last year plunged by 42 million tons, while “environmentally friendly” Europe’s emissions climbed by 92 million tons?
So, what you’re telling me is that Trump has been more environmentally friendly, despite rolling back green energy policies, than Europe?
Ok, maybe Democrats don’t have the environment card either.
“I form light and create darkness, I make well-being and create calamity, I am the Lord, who does all these things.”
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