Before the rabid, cultish Left begins accusing me of “denying science” or claiming that I know more than scientists and experts (which, all things considered, I might, in some areas), allow me to explain the context behind this kind of story and roughly why it is that I believe I can explain what scientists can’t.
Furthermore, I believe a lot of objective, rational people could explain what scientists can’t in this instance.
But before I get to that, like I said, let me give you the context.
A recent New York Post article is titled: “Scientists can’t explain puzzling lack of coronavirus outbreaks in Africa.”
“The novel coronavirus has infected more than 26.35 million people, with just four countries accounting for over 15 million cases… Some [scientists] expected the African continent to be affected most heavily by the virus, but that wasn’t the case. South Africa stands out when it comes to the number of total cases, with nearly 631,000 infections. But fewer than 15,000 people have died of COVID-19. These figures are puzzling scientists looking to understand how the virus behaves and how it can be beaten.”
Before I bring in my own two cents about why this is happening, let me tell you what the scientists theorize could be the case.
Despite the fact that Africa is a very poor and densely-populated continent, two factors which were expected to lead to a disaster in the continent, the most infected country, South Africa, has a death rate seven times lower than the U.K.
Trying to figure out this phenomenon, the NY Post says that “one hypothesis that can explain the disparity between Africa and other continents concerns the overall age of the population. In general, the population of Africa is younger than in regions hardest-hit by COVID-19.”
This hypothesis is fairly sound, all things considered. Africa is pretty underdeveloped and the life expectancy in all of Africa is 63.24 years. For comparison, life expectancy in the U.S. is 78.93 years. It also makes sense because the virus hits hardest for those who are older, as the death rate jumps from 6.5% for those between the ages of 65-74 to 14.3% for those 75 and older. If the average life expectancy is even less than 65 in Africa, there is good reason to assume lower age is a factor here.
Of course, that is just a hypothesis, so it is not outright proven nor are scientists fully confident that that would be the entire reason (which is why they acknowledge their being puzzled by this).
Another hypothesis is that “other human coronaviruses that cause common colds can elicit an immune response that could provide protection against COVID-19. South African researchers went to work on that idea, attempting to analyze five-year-old blood samples that were conserved from a flu vaccine trial in Soweto. The plan was to look for any evidence that would explain why the African continent is faring much better against the illness than others. Those samples were compromised by technical issues that put a stop to the research.”
“But the idea still stands. The same crowded neighborhoods that would lead to the quick spread of other coronaviruses may have protected the population from SARS-CoV-2.”
So basically, the idea is that some other strains of the coronavirus, particularly the ones that cause common colds, could have provided some protection for people in Africa. The only issue here is that Africa isn’t the only continent in the world where people get the common cold. Just about everyone everywhere could get it, even if not necessarily to the same degree.
Here in the States, for example, when it’s flu season, people tend to get a flu shot (which is very strange that one supposedly needs to get one every year, since vaccines are supposed to work for far longer). Such shots are easy to get, which is not necessarily the case in less developed nations.
However, tens of thousands of people die every year from the flu in the U.S. and obviously, far more people get it. And yet, the U.S. is the global leader in terms of cases and deaths to COVID-19 (at least according to official estimates, which as I have already mentioned time and time again, are not really trustworthy, particularly as seemingly only 6% of these deaths are actually to the virus).
What I’m getting at is that I don’t know if this hypothesis is all that good, though there is merit to the idea of immunity from getting the virus in the first place.
At any rate, those are a couple of the hypotheses that scientists have regarding this phenomenon, at least according to the New York Post.
However, I have a little theory of my own regarding this. Before I say it, however, keep in mind that I am not a doctor, a scientist or in any way an expert on this issue. I bring this theory up simply because it makes a good deal of logical sense, particularly knowing other stories that suggest the same.
My theory is that the numbers are particularly low in Africa because of malaria, or more specifically, the drug used to treat malaria: Hydroxychloroquine.
According to the World Health Organization (let’s spare our thoughts about this garbage organization for the time being), in 2018, there were an estimated 405,000 deaths from malaria worldwide, with Africa accounting for 94% of those deaths.
Simply put, Africa is a hotbed for malaria and Hydroxychloroquine has been used to both prevent and treat it since 1944.
Given its frequent use to prevent and treat malaria, and given that the drug has been used to treat the Chinese coronavirus in other places with good results (even leading some Democrats who got the virus and were cured by the drug to go so far as to THANK Trump for his promotion of the drug), it’s perfectly logical to assume that people in Africa were given the drug and have seen great numbers as a result.
While South Africa is the standout example given the number of cases but relatively low number of deaths, it still ranks at number 8 most infected in the world, according to worldometers. The next highest African country on that list is Egypt at number 31, with a little over 100,000 cases, but fewer than 6,000 deaths. After that comes Morocco at number 43, with over 75,000 cases but fewer than 2,000 deaths. After that comes Ethiopia at number 49, with over 60,000 cases but fewer than a thousand deaths.
While it was expected that the poor, dense populations of African nations would cause a massive disaster for the continent, reality has been the exact opposite so far: Africa is doing better than all other continents.
And while it could come down to the relatively lower average age and possible immunization from other similar viruses, there is no doubt that HCQ has at least somewhat of a hand to play here. It is widely used in that continent to prevent and treat malaria, as I just explained, and it has shown that it can also treat the Chinese coronavirus both in anecdotal stories and in some actual scientific studies, much as people like Fauci (who has a financial interest in not promoting that drug) might argue against it.
A big reason I suggest that this is a possibility is because the other scientists in the NY Post article seemingly didn’t even think to bring it up, despite the fact that the drug has been widely used for other purposes as well for nearly 80 years in that continent. It’s like the scientists didn’t even bother to try and connect the dots on this.
Now, am I saying that the drug is definitely the number 1 reason for these incredible numbers in Africa? No, and I cannot say that because I’m neither a scientist nor have I run a research study to find whether that is the case or not. However, there is no denying the, at the very least, massive coincidence that Africa is seeing great numbers in fighting the virus and it also has been using HCQ for decades in its population for fighting malaria.
I’m not saying that HCQ is definitely the reason for these numbers but I also cannot disregard the drug as having some impact here, especially knowing that it has worked in other places for other people.
I just wish that this whole thing weren’t so politicized (by the Left) that a plausible treatment that could save lives is largely disregarded just because a prominent politician hated by the Left and the media is the one who promoted it. Trust me, if, say, Bill Gates or Obama had brought up the idea that HCQ could help treat the virus, the media would have promoted the drug as if it had been sent by God Himself and they would have praised whomever brought it up as not only a genius but possibly as a savior of humanity.
But just because it was Trump that brought it up, it has to be avoided as though the drug itself were the CAUSE of the disease. The Left will literally let people die just out of disdain for Trump and to keep him from getting some sort of victory, political or not.
Again, I cannot possibly claim that the drug is definitely what is leading to the numbers Africa is seeing because I’m not a scientist, but it is ludicrous that some actual scientists are putting politics or money before lives and disregarding a drug which has clearly been at least fairly effective in dealing with this virus JUST because of who brought up its possible use (and again, people forget that Grandma-killer Cuomo also promoted the drug before the virus became a political war).
I hope that more and more scientists begin exploring the possibility of using this drug more frequently, because if they cared at all about people, this is what they would do: explore all possibilities for helping people and not disregarding such possibilities just because a politician Leftists don’t like is the one who brought it up.
“And we know that for those who love God all things work together for good, for those who are called according to his purpose.”
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