The states of Wisconsin and California recently held special elections despite the current pandemic situation and the stay-at-home orders in place and to the joy of Republicans and conservatives, the Republican candidates enjoyed massive victories in both.
Let’s begin with Wisconsin, which Tom Tiffany, the Republican candidate and a state senator, won by 15 points to gain the seat of the former representative Rep. Sean Duffy (R-WI) after he retired and the seat was vacated back in September of last year.
According to the Associated Press: “Tom Tiffany, a state senator endorsed by President Donald Trump, easily won a special congressional election Tuesday in a heavily conservative, rural Wisconsin district, cheering Republicans even as Democrats argued the victory revealed vulnerabilities for the president among his base.”
Yeah, let me go ahead and say the following:
The “vulnerabilities” they are talking about are nonsense. Trump won that district by 20 points in 2016, so it definitely is a conservative district. A Republican’s victory is expected. What Democrats are trying to argue is that Tiffany won that district by “only” 15 points, which is five less points than Trump won it by four years ago.
However, the reasons for that “drop” are simple. First, we are comparing a special election that the vast majority of people, at least outside of the district, likely didn’t even know was happening to a record-turnout election in 2016 that virtually everyone and their mother was talking about.
General elections ALWAYS have bigger turnouts than midterm and particularly special elections. For Tiffany to still win that district by 15 points in a non-general election is a big deal and does not reveal any vulnerabilities for Trump and his base. The result is fairly relative to what Trump got under better circumstances.
Second, we are in the midst of a pandemic. Seemingly, 191,549 people went out to vote in that special election (by comparison, 362,061 people voted in 2016 in that district and 322,787 in 2018, so a noticeable drop). It’s clear that considerably less people voted in this special election because of both the fact it was a special election and not a general or midterm election and the fact that there is a pandemic going on and plenty of people would rather not go out and risk getting sick just to vote in a relatively minor election in comparison to what this November will be.
The fact that the Republican had these restrictions to fight against and STILL won in a major way is not indicative of any vulnerabilities for Trump and his base. His base won’t abandon him unless he abandons it and any candidate that supports the MAGA movement is going to get the support of Trump’s base.
But now, let’s look at the other race, which is a little bit more interesting: the race in California.
Now, I should mention beforehand that it’s not like this was an election to oust Nancy Pelosi or anything of the sort. This election was in a typically red district that happened to have turned blue in 2018 when former Rep. Katie Hill (remember her?) won it in the midterms. This election isn’t necessarily an indication that California is turning against the Democrats or that it will abandon its communist free trial that they are voting for. Katie Hill’s victory in 2018 was a little bit of an outlier for this district since she was the first Democrat to win it since 1992, following a redrawing of the district maps.
However, as with the Wisconsin race, it’s not merely about who won it, but just by how much they won it. And Mike Garcia, the Republican candidate in California’s 25th district, won by a sizeable margin. California’s 25th district covers (some of) Los Angeles County and Ventura County.
Mike Garcia won Los Angeles County by 11 POINTS, with 107,710 total votes in that county and won Ventura County by 15 points as well. In total Garcia garnered over 80,000 votes and won the district by nearly 13 POINTS, which is a sizeable percentage.
This marks the first time a Republican flipped a blue seat to red since 1998, though as I said before, this was a typically red district and Katie Hill was a bit of an outlier, so this is more of a return to normalcy than it is a sign of Democrat doom in the larger state as a whole. However, there is no denying the significance of this victory at any rate. The Democrats thought they were going to take control of all of California and keep it basically forever. They believed any race in the state of California would automatically go to the Democrats.
This election proved them wrong and proved that they are nowhere near as invincible as they believe they are. Is this an indication that Trump will win California in November? Almost definitely no. But it is an indication that the Democrats aren’t as popular and liked as they delude themselves to be.
Both of these elections, though Republicans tend to win them, marked big losses for Democrats. For one, a formerly blue seat has now been flipped to red, even though it usually was red anyway. That means one less vote for Democrats in the House of Representatives. But the most important takeaway is just by how much these Republicans won. It wasn’t even a contest in either one. If Trump truly had the “vulnerabilities” the Left believes he does, the Republican candidates that he endorsed would not have won by anywhere near the margins that they did.
The Wisconsin seat was likely to still go red and the California seat usually was red until last midterm election. But there’s no denying that this is a cold reality check to the Left: they aren’t invincible and 2020 will be no cakewalk for them.
The margin of victory for both Republicans is the bigger story, in my opinion. Both are major victories for the GOP and major losses for the Democrats, regardless of whether or not they admit so (and they largely won’t).
And let’s not even pretend like the Democrats wouldn’t have pretended this was a victory for them had it been any closer anyway. For crying out loud, they are arguing this exposes Trump “vulnerabilities” when they lost by DOUBLE DIGITS! They are actually delusional fools.
“A fool takes no pleasure in understanding, but only in expressing his opinion.”
We bring you the TRUTH that the Left denies you. You'll live a more joyful and victorious life, because the Truth will set you free...