More and more Democrats have signed on to the idea that they should seek to impeach President Donald Trump, with 130 House Democrats currently wishing to impeach and with the fourth-ranking Democrat having recently announced his desire to go down that route. However, Monmouth University recently ran a poll that shows dire news for Democrats who wish to impeach: it would only help Trump in the long run.
Recently, Monmouth University ran a survey asking people a number of things. Questions like Trump's job approval among surveyors, Congress’ job approval and other things were asked (and I’ll get to that first one), but most important are questions 4, 6, 8, and 9-13.
Here is what question 4 said: “Do you think President Trump should be impeached and compelled to leave the Presidency, or not?” And here are the results: 35% said that Trump should be impeached or compelled to leave office, while 59% said he should not and 6% said they didn’t know. That is a massive, 24-point difference in the sentiment surrounding impeachment.
Despite the Left’s best efforts to accuse Trump of being a Russian agent or being unfit to serve or having broken the law at any capacity, FAR MORE PEOPLE say that he shouldn’t be impeached than he should. This goes to show the failure of the media to try and shape reality. They have insisted for over 3 years that Donald Trump was unfit or was in some way a criminal and none of it has stuck.
Question 6 says the following: “Do you think it is a good idea or a bad idea for the House Judiciary Committee to conduct an impeachment inquiry into President Trump that may or may not lead to impeachment?” This was the result: 41% said it was a good idea for the House Judiciary Committee, which is led by Jerry “Doughboy” Nadler, to conduct inquiry into impeaching Trump. 51%, in turn, said it was a bad idea to do so. A 10-point difference.
Now, I didn’t mention question 7 in the “important questions” list, but it is relevant to question 6, so I will briefly cover it. Question 7 is split into two questions: 7A and 7B. 7A asks the people who answer “good idea” to question 6 why it is that they feel the way they do. 17% of those say that it’s because they believe he broke the law, 18% say because the aforementioned Committee needs to follow evidence, 17% say because of bad moral character/personality, 16% say because he has enacted bad policies or is doing a bad job, 10% say because he acts above the law and must be held accountable, 11% say because he is racist or because he is bad for immigration. There are other reasons, but one I would like to point out is that only 3% say because he has “Russia ties”.
While many of these reasons are fake news narratives, such as breaking the law, acting above the law, insisting there is evidence of criminal activity, etc., the 3% Russia ties is quite significant in showing how bad of a job the Left did in trying to frame Trump as a Russian asset or having colluded with Russia.
For the most part, I imagine that those who say he broke the law will argue that the law he broke was relating to wanting to fire Mueller or complaining about the investigation being a witch hunt, etc., none of which are an actual crime (though Mueller certainly tried to make it look like they were instances of obstruction of justice), otherwise far more people would be signed on to the idea of impeachment, and none of it really has to do with actual Russian collusion. Three years of insisting Trump colluded with Russia has culminated in people really not buying it. Though, that tends to happen when no actual evidence of the deed has been shown.
But in any case, while these may be the (really poor) reasons people have stated to impeach Trump, question 7B asks those who think it’s a bad idea for Nadler to begin impeachment inquiry why they think the way they do. 27% say that Trump did nothing wrong, 22% say it would be a waste of time/money, 12% say Trump’s done a good job, 13% say because it would be a witch hunt and entirely partisan, 10% say Congress should work on other things, and 5% say because it would backfire on Democrats.
So while there are those who are insane enough to believe the b.s. of the Left (at least some of it), there are far more people who think it would be unwarranted to call for impeachment of the POTUS.
But let’s move on to question 8. It’s rather lengthy and basically explains the impeachment process (House votes to pass articles of impeachment and two-thirds of Senate, or 66 votes, in order to remove the President from office) but it basically asks how likely it would be for the Senate to remove Trump if House votes to impeach. 6% said it would be very likely, 14% said somewhat likely, 25% said not too likely and 50% said not at all likely. That’s 20% to 75% in favor of “not likely” that the Senate would vote to impeach.
This largely hinges on the actual rules of the Senate and Trump’s favorability as it stands. 66 Senators would have to vote in favor of impeachment. There are 45 Democrats and 2 Independent Senators, those being Bernie Sanders and Angus King, neither of which like Trump, so they’d likely vote to remove from office. One could assume all 45 Dems would vote to remove Trump from office, so that’s 47 votes. This would require 19 Republicans to vote to remove Trump from office. And while people like Romney, Susan Collins, Lisa Murkowski and Ben Sasse might vote to remove Trump from office, that’s still not enough votes to do so and with Trump’s good numbers, it’s unlikely they would vote to remove (well, maybe Romney still would because he’s an idiot, but I don’t know about the rest. When Ben Sasse isn’t talking about Trump, I tend to like him because he tends to be conservative, but I don’t really know what he would do).
Sure, there are probably others in the Senate who hate Trump as much as the Democrats do, but wouldn’t dare be vocal about it, particularly now. And considering Lindsey Graham seems to be on Trump’s side now, that’s one less likely vote to remove Trump.
But that’s if it even reaches the Senate. With the way things are, I don’t think the House would vote to impeach. Again, only 130 Democrats are signing on to it (and probably a couple Republicans and Independents), but Nancy Pelosi doesn’t even want this on the House floor. So impeachment is not likely at all to occur.
Now, for the sake of time, I will briefly cover the remaining important questions.
Question 9 asked if people thought it’d be a good idea for the House to conduct impeachment proceedings even if the Senate was unlikely to remove Trump from office. Only 37% said it would be a good idea and 56% said it would be a bad idea.
Question 10 asks if Trump would be in a stronger or weaker position to win reelection if impeached but not removed from office. 31% said he’d be in a stronger position and only 23% said he’d be in a weaker position. Though 36% said there wouldn’t be a significant impact.
Question 11 is similar to question 10, but asks the same of Democrats keeping the House in 2020. 27% said they’d be in a stronger position to retain the House, 34% said they’d be in a weaker position and 31% said there wouldn’t be a significant impact.
Question 12 asks people if their elected representative voted to impeach, would that make voters more or less likely to vote for that representative again? 24% said more likely, 26% less likely and 46% no significant impact.
Question 13 is similar but asks if the representative voted against impeachment, would people vote for them again? 16% said more likely, 28% said less likely, 51% no impact.
Those last two questions particularly put Democrats in purple states in danger because it’s a no-win situation. If they vote to impeach, more people would be less likely to vote. If they vote against impeachment, the same thing happens. It’s damned if you do, damned if you don’t for them, which is another reason Pelosi doesn’t want this on the House floor. Not only is it unlikely to do anything to hurt Trump, it would likely HELP him in 2020 and it would likely HURT the Democrats in 2020, particularly in the House.
Now, another thing that I feel obligated to mention (as I said I would get to) is Trump’s approval rating in the Monmouth University poll. It’s not exactly great numbers for Trump, sitting at only 40% approval rating, but that’s actually par for the course for Trump in this survey. His highest numbers, at least since March of 2017, have been 44 or 43%. 40% is far from the lowest he’s gotten and rather normal for this survey (of which only 25% of registered Republicans participated, 30% Democrats and 45% Independents, so that explains some numbers).
I personally think his approval is considerably higher than that, but even taking this number at face value, it’s far higher than the Democrats would want in order to be confident about impeachment proceedings.
Pelosi noticed that Clinton’s approval numbers were not bad at all when the GOP sought to impeach and she noticed that move seriously hurt the Republicans moving forward, at least to some extent. She doesn’t want the same thing to happen to the Democrats, not because she cares about the Party, but because that would put her position of power in peril. Pushing to impeach would likely make Trump stronger in 2020 and would likely make any incumbent who voted in favor likely to lose (in districts not in solid blue states, at least).
That’s not to say Pelosi doesn’t want to impeach Trump. She does, but she doesn’t want to sacrifice her power in order to *maybe* achieve that (and, of course, it’s not likely at all that the Senate will vote to remove Trump).
With more and more Democrats signing on to the idea of impeaching Trump, they may be appeasing the Leftist Hollywood elitists who demand this and maybe even be appeasing some in their base, but as I’ve said before, that base is shrinking. Most people don’t want impeachment and if Democrats go against that, it will only hurt them going forward. Every Democrat who says they should impeach Trump gives ammo to Trump and only to Trump.
And that’s why I want them to go for it. I want them to try and impeach because of how catastrophic a failure it would be for them. But we’ll see what happens. We’ll see if Pelosi still has enough political muscle to rein in these lunatic Leftists.
“Behold, I have given you authority to tread on serpents and scorpions, and over all the power of the enemy, and nothing shall hurt you.”
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