As we are less than half a year away from the elections, polls that we see today are hardly all that relevant. The things that will have a great effect on the outcome of the election haven’t happened yet and won’t happen until around October (which is why the Democrats always spring up an “October surprise” to try and destroy their opposition, such as the sexual assault allegations thrown at Trump back in 2016).
However, as things currently stand, barring any major changes, it appears that the majority of people believe Trump will be re-elected as President of the United States, regardless of whether they actually support him or not.
According to a new poll by Zogby of 1,007 likely voters (so not the biggest sample size, but likely voters are more valuable than registered voters and all adults), a majority of 51% give the edge to Donald Trump to win the 2020 election, while 43% say that Biden will win.
While most polls have Biden winning, often by double digits (gee, where have I seen this before?), Zogby has the race at a tie of 46% for both candidates. But that is a poll of who surveyors support. This one has people saying who they believe will win regardless of whom they actually support.
Jonathan Zogby wrote in his analysis that Trump still has great support from his base and even is winning with middle aged and older voters while also beating Biden among union workers (as I have said in the past, union workers have largely been abandoned by the Democrats in favor of illegal immigrants, so this is not a surprise).
Zogby writes: “The subgroups most likely to believe the president would win were his base: Born Again Christians (Trump 68%/Biden 28%), NASCAR fans (Trump 68%/Biden 29%), union voters (Trump 61%/Biden 35%), and voters who recently lost a job (Trump 58%/Biden 34%). Most other demographics agreed Trump would beat Biden in 2020, regardless of their political ideology or support. Here is a breakdown of other important subgroups who thought Trump would beat Biden regardless of their political leanings: both men (Trump 57%/Biden 39%) and women (Trump 47%/Biden 46%) said Trump would win, as did voters living in the East (Trump 49%/Biden 45%), South (Trump 53%/Biden 42%) and Central/Great Lakes (Trump 56%/Biden 38%). The West region (Biden 49%/Trump 42%) disagreed with voters, overall, and felt Biden had the best chance to win in 2020.”
Not particularly surprising to see the West region believing Biden would win, considering that is the Left-coast: Commiefornia, Oregon, Washington, etc.
But taking the West region aside, this tells us plenty about voter enthusiasm regarding the candidates. Most people believing Trump will win indicates there is more enthusiasm for Trump than there is Biden; definitely more confidence.
This is particularly noticeable considering that, according to the Washington Examiner, “the survey was the latest to show that while voters indicate they prefer Biden, they expect Trump to win.”
While many of them say they would prefer Biden (remember, they tend to oversample Democrats), the fact that a majority as big as that one still believes Trump will win is a sign of little voter enthusiasm for Biden.
The Zogby poll also asked surveyors: “Who do you think is a greater threat to economic recovery in the United States?” with the two options being the two major political parties. Funny enough, 51% said the Democrats were a bigger threat to economic recovery than the Republicans (49%).
Despite it being as close as it is, again, you have to remember they tend to oversample Democrats. The only reason we are even talking about an economic recovery is because many Democrat states have opted for adopting draconian measures that kill businesses and jobs (as we have talked about extensively) for the purposes of “fighting” the Chinese coronavirus (and as we know, this shutdown was entirely unnecessary and any perceived benefits from it are unproven, while the disadvantages are concrete and clear for all to see).
Now, again, the polls that we see today are not indicative of what is likely to happen come November. The Leftist polls all showed Hillary winning in November the entire time even up to the actual election, so they are not exactly the most reliable of things. But especially in June, they are not likely to be reflective of reality. Keep in mind as well that the fake news media is not interested in reflecting reality but rather, adjusting it to fit their desires. They make it seem like virtually the entire country hates Trump (they’ve been doing this for four years to this point) when that is not at all the case.
But it is interesting to note the levels of voter enthusiasm that we see for the candidates. And I am not exactly surprised to see low enthusiasm for Biden, who might have topped his “you ain’t black” comment by saying that “Even Dr. King’s assassination did not have the worldwide impact that George Floyd’s death did” in a recent press conference.
Frankly, despite his obviously stupid and ignorant remark, I give him points for at least being coherent for roughly a full sentence. Of course, that was the same press conference where he said: “You know the rapidly rising umm uh in with uh with I don’t know,” and while I give him props for admitting in the end that even HE didn’t know what he was talking about, that is yet another gaffe in an absolute library full of them (and that wasn’t the only gaffe in that conference either).
However, as I feel it is often necessary, I should remind people not to feel too comfortable with all of this. Like I have said time and time again, we can’t afford to get complacent and assume this election is in the bag. I also believe Trump will be re-elected but not if we don’t show up to vote. Not that I think you should be reminded of this over and over again – you guys are definitely smart enough to understand why complacency is our biggest enemy and the only thing that can actually beat Trump – but I do think it is important to express the importance of not assuming things will go your way.
Hillary expected to win for a variety of reasons (among which were her rigging the election) and that complacency cost her dearly. We cannot afford to fall for the same thing, lest we lose far more than just an election.
“For the Lord your God is he who goes with you to fight for you against your enemies, to give you the victory.”
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