In 1980, then-candidate Ronald Reagan asked the American people during one of his debates against Jimmy Carter: “Are you better off today than you were four years ago?” Ever since, polls have begun to ask this question, particularly when an incumbent president was up for re-election. And the numbers we see today are nothing but good news for President Trump.
According to Gallup, 56% of registered voters say that they are better off today than they were four years ago, while 32% said they were worse off.
This is simply astounding for a couple of reasons.
First, consider the climate we are in. This year has taken a toll on a lot of people, with some early worries of a potential global conflict with Iran after the killing of Soleimani (which led to nothing because Iran is all bark and no bite when Trump is in charge) to fires raging in Australia and, most recently, in the west coast (though that’s not an exclusive event for 2020), to dealing with a global pandemic willingly started by the CCP and dealing with the economic ramifications of idiots deciding to shut down the economy for a virus that is only marginally deadlier than the flu for most people.
2020, to put it simply, can go to hell. This is a sentiment many people around the world can agree with, I believe. So to see this many people saying that they are better off TODAY (technically between September 14-28, when the poll was taken) than they were four years ago after eight years of Obama is simply astounding and hilarious to me.
Obama’s tenure as president is seen as a worse event in people’s lives than what has happened this year.
Which actually sort of brings me to the second reason this is so astounding: that 56% is considerably HIGHER than in previous elections.
In 2012, Gallup surveyed this question too (though in December, for some reason), and found that 45% said that they were better off back then than four years prior. In 2004, 47% said the same thing. In 1992 (not sure why Gallup doesn’t include 1996. Guess they just didn’t ask the question that election cycle), only 38% said they were better off, and finally, in 1984, 44% said they were better off than four years earlier.
With the exception of 1992, which was surprisingly low, each of the incumbent presidents in those elections ended up getting re-elected. And, again, look at how massive of a gap there is between 2020’s response and 2012’s. An 11-point difference in Trump’s favor is nothing to scoff at and something that is simply not indicative that the president is headed towards defeat.
Poll after poll claims that Trump is eight to 14 points behind Biden, depending on who you ask. Demographic splits and shy voters can often influence the results of these polls, but such matters are of little importance to the pollsters because the results show things they want to see: Trump losing and badly.
It doesn’t matter that they tried this same song and dance in 2016 and ended up with egg on their faces because of it; they want to see Biden winning, even if they have to delude themselves into believing their reporting is reality.
Well, despite what polls say, this number should absolutely terrify the Democrats. When things are going well (or, at least, people believe things are going well), voters won’t try to rock the boat. Why get rid of the guy that is making so many people believe they are better off today than four years ago? Why mess with what is working so well?
This is particularly the case considering just how many people are saying the same thing. Again, there is an 11-point difference between Trump and Obama in Trump’s favor. Obama was a horrible president – one of the worst – and still, enough people believed he was doing a fine enough job that he should get four more years in the Oval Office. 11% more people than even that believe we are in a better position today than at any point during Obama’s tenure. And yet, we’re supposed to believe Biden is running away with it?
We’re supposed to believe that it’s already over for Trump and there is nothing he could possibly do to turn things around? That Biden is a shoo-in to win the election? I’m sorry, I just don’t believe it.
What’s interesting as well is that another question Gallup asked is whether Trump or Biden has more presidential qualities and whether the surveyor agrees more with Trump or Biden on the issues that are most important to them.
It was fairly close for both candidates in both questions. 44% of people believe Trump has presidential qualities while 49% said the same of Biden. But when it comes to the issues, Trump has a slight advantage with 49% saying they agree with him on the issues compared to 46% who agreed with Biden.
That indicates a base and ideological advantage to Trump, which is one of the biggest reasons Trump always plays to his base. This, as I have stated in the past, is a base election. It’s communists versus sane people, with sane people being largely in Trump’s camp, even if they don’t necessarily like him on a personal level. And as it stands, there are far more sane people than there are communists.
Trump’s base, as a result, gets bigger and bigger. Why wouldn’t he play to his base at every opportunity, then?
At any rate, one cannot tell me that this is not good news for Trump. They can cite whatever heavily biased source they want, but this is a pretty good indicator as to who is more likely to win the election. If people think things are going well enough (particularly this many people) then they won’t get rid of the guy that made this situation in the first place. Even despite what this year has brought, many are of the belief that we are better off today, under Trump’s administration, than we were following eight years of the Obama regime. What does that say about Biden’s chances at winning (particularly considering he was Obama’s VP)?
Of course, as I believe I must remind people, this is not to say that Trump supporters can simply coast this election. We have to go out and vote, yes with the belief that Trump will win but with the mindset that he is as far behind as the polls say he is. We have to come out in droves to get Trump re-elected, or else, we’ll get a Biden presidency and, in all certainty, the installation of a socialist regime which undoes the electoral process as we know it in order to get Leftists into every place of power imaginable.
Trump is winning but we have to ensure that he ultimately gets that victory.
“I can do all things through him who strengthens me.”
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