It is not often that I write articles that respond to something someone on the Daily Wire or other conservative websites write, but I felt it appropriate here. The reason being is that Joseph Curl (whom I should mention is a Never Trumper) says that Biden will run in 2020 and will become the 46th President of the United States.
Curl notes that the entire Democrat field currently running is essentially shooting themselves on both feet repeatedly and Biden will likely jump in a little later on when sufficient damage has been made to all of them.
He notes that Biden will find himself in an easy race against Trump, being from Pennsylvania himself, so that will likely flip in his favor (Pennsylvania is a state that Trump won in 2016) and will likely win other states that carried Trump in 2016.
Curl also notes that Biden is not going to run as part of the far-Left movement, but more as a center-field candidate imploring people to not get too crazy with things. But most importantly to him, he believes Biden will win because “he’s a relatively normal person. He’s calm, thoughtful, even tempered, reasonable – heck, he’s downright folksy.”
Essentially, Biden is meant to be the one voice of reason in a sea of craziness from the far-Left and from Trump (again, Curl is a Never Trumper).
And Curl also makes the case that Trump, while he’s holding steady in the 50% approval rating in many states, he’s under 40% in states that carry big electoral votes. Quoting Chicago Mayor Rahm Emmanuel: “Not only is [Trump] now underwater in the three states that pushed him to victory in 2016 – he’s now unexpectedly vulnerable in places such as Texas, Florida, and Ohio as well. His popularity rises to 50 percent or higher in states that total a mere 102 electoral votes. Probably of more concern to his campaign: He’s fallen below 40 percent approval in states encompassing a 201-electoral-vote bloc.”
The problem I have with this line of reasoning is that no poll is actually mentioned here. And polls vary wildly. Rasmussen tends to hold Trump around 50% at least recently, while MSNBC and other polls have him in the low 40’s. FiveThirtyEight has Trump’s approval rating at just 41.8%, RealClearPolitics has him around 43% (worth noting they also take the averages from other polls and take the average of all of them to make into their own polling, so the information can certainly be a little dodgy), Gallup’s most recent poll has him at 43% (mid-February, at least), etc.
So many polls, particularly if run by MSM, will hold him lower than I truly think it is or what other, typically-reliable sources will hold him at.
But getting back to Curl’s article, and the biggest point I want to make in my own, is the simple fact that there’s no way the Democrat Party is going to let Biden be their nominee, particularly for the very reasons Curl claims he will win in 2020.
There’s good reason around 20 Democrats have jumped at the chance to run for President (aside from the fact they’ve convinced themselves Trump is an easy win just like last time). They see socialism as their future. The former DNC Chair, Keith Ellison, named AOC “the future of the party”. They are convinced that they have a prime opportunity to run on socialism and are convinced they will win this way.
Joe Biden, as Curl notes, will likely try to run as a moderate candidate. A Democrat, no doubt, but nowhere near as insane as everyone else. And that’s exactly the reason he won’t be the nominee.
Taking aside the fact that many on the Democrat base don’t want Joe Biden because he’s “too old” or “too white” or “too male”, he’s nowhere near Leftist enough in their eyes. He’s too moderate. But beyond everything else, he represents a sort of regression in the Democrat Party. They don’t want to go back to pretending to be moderates or reasonable. They’ve fully embraced their masks coming loose and are fully embracing socialism. Some of their biggest stars are socialists. They’re not going to turn their backs on such a future for a candidate who is no longer the future of the party.
And it’s not like they feel Biden is owed anything. He was already Vice President and while he’s run in the past, he’s not considered Democrat Party royalty like Hillary was. The Democrat Party turned their backs on her in 2007 by going for Obama. In 2015, they sought to crown her as their nominee, feeling she was owed something (and Hillary herself felt owed). But the Party does not feel like they owe Biden anything. They like him, no doubt, but they are not going to crown him.
Far from it, they will likely try to sink him. Again, he is not a socialist in their minds. He’s not a radical. They don’t want a “voice of reason” (and I find it hard to believe Biden would provide that anyway). Again, they feel the opportunity is primed for running with a hardcore Leftist socialist in 2020. It’s for that reason that I think they will lose, but it’s for that reason that they think they will win.
Now, let’s look again at what Curl said of Biden. He’s “a relatively normal person… calm, thoughtful, even tempered, reasonable… downright folksy.”
Well, let’s look over this with some things even Curl notes about Biden. Biden is notorious for saying some downright stupid and frankly racist things.
Let’s not forget he tried to scare black people by saying Republicans were going to put “y’all back in chains”, saying that in a rather “ghetto” or stereotypical “black” accent. Let’s not forget he said of Obama that he’s “the first mainstream African-American who is articulate and bright and clean.”
Let’s not forget he said: “You cannot go to a 7-Eleven or a Dunkin’ Donuts unless you have a slight Indian accent… I’m not joking.”
Let’s not forget the MULTIPLE instances of him getting a little too cozy with women and even young girls, earning him the nickname of “Creepy Joe”.
And beyond all of that, he is easy to manipulate. Remember when he dared say that Mike Pence was a decent guy and Cynthia Nixon and others basically shamed him into saying that he is a deplorable human being? Remember how easily he succumbed to the backlash, taking away the very mild compliment of saying Pence is a decent guy?
Look, in all honesty, I do think Biden is a far better option from every other Democrat. But when you consider the fact that he’ll likely take a socialist as his running mate (Curl certainly thinks he’ll take Beto or Julian Castro), and would most likely be a puppet for the Obamas, there’s no way in Hell I’d consider voting for him.
Not that this matters anyway for a number of reasons.
First, like I said, he’s not going to be the Democrat Party nominee. Precisely because he’s going to run as the center option, the Democrat Party won’t allow him to become their nominee. They want full-on socialism as fast as possible and will see Biden as a step backwards, not forwards. And if Biden does bite the bullet and start spewing socialist nonsense, the only appeal he had even in Curl’s eyes will be gone. If Trump makes this campaign about defining the Left as socialists like the Nazis and the Soviets, he will steamroll them.
Second, we are still a little less than two years away from the election. Nothing Trump says or does now will likely cost him or win him 2020. What will matter the most to people is the wall getting built, which will likely make tremendous progress by the time the general election starts, and how well the economy is doing.
He may have lost people like Ann Coulter, whom I’ll give credit as having been one of the first pro-Trump people out there, but she’s no big loss, particularly when you consider the fact she attacked Trump after he held a meeting with Pelosi and Schumer and she tweeted: “Put a fork in Trump, he’s dead” and “At this point, who DOESN’T want Trump impeached.”
She tweeted that after Trump softened his position on DACA (not that he has much of a choice with the 9th Circuit basically forcing him to keep the unconstitutional act alive). And like I said in the article where I first mentioned those tweets, she’s not really a supporter of Trump, but someone who’s just trying to get attention and clicks, particularly if she herself was ready to try and impeach Trump over this (and even if it was a joke, it was hardly a good one with little sense attached to it).
So losing someone who’s legitimately an air-head is not exactly a big loss for Trump.
Look, I’m not saying it’s a guarantee that Trump will win. He himself has to not make mistakes. But considering that the Democrat Party foolishly believes they can take down Trump with a socialist candidate, they will do a lot of work in his favor.
I can’t outright guarantee that Biden will 100% not be the nominee, but there is no reason the Democrat Party, with their current beliefs and where they think they should be going, will allow Joe to be their nominee.
Who knows, maybe I’ll be wrong, but all reason points to the Democrats not recognizing that Biden really is their best chance at beating Trump. Not that I think he would even if he was the nominee, but it certainly would be more of a battle for Trump than it would be were he to face any other Democrat.
“I have said these things to you, that in me you may have peace. In the world you will have tribulation. But take heart; I have overcome the world.”
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