Generally speaking, while I love covering polls that have good news for people like Trump and other conservative Republicans, I tend to admit to the fact that the next presidential election is still quite some time away from us, in well over a year, so a lot of things can happen between then and now. However, there are certain items in the poll that I will show you that I have my doubts they have much of a chance of changing in the near future.
According to a recent NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll, conducted July 15-17 and with over 1300 respondents, President Donald Trump’s approval number sits at a comfortable 44%, the highest in the Marist poll to date. And trust me, there are a lot more numbers like this that ought to scare the Left for a number of reasons.
Now, you might be asking: “why is 44?% scary? It seems relatively normal.” And yes, you would be right when just thinking about the number in and of itself. However, this is from a poll where Democrats are polled far more than Republicans or other people. 33% of the respondents identified as Democrat, as opposed to only 27% of Republicans. There is a clear over-sampling of Democrats in this survey and STILL his numbers are that high.
But don’t worry. We are just getting started with the numbers shown in this poll. As it stands, 90% of Republicans support Trump’s job as POTUS, with 42% of Independents and 7% of Democrats. These numbers are also pretty good, particularly for the Independent vote.
39% of national adults said they would “definitely” vote for Trump in 2020, with 89% of Republicans and 33% of Independents agreeing. Keep in mind these are just national adults. Typically, the numbers go up when it comes to registered voters and likely voters. What’s more, as Josh Kraushaar points out on Twitter: “Trump definite re-elect % in July 2019: 39%. Obama definite re-elect % in August 2011: 40%.”
So Trump is basically polling as well as Obama was at the same time in his presidency and we all know Obama got re-elected with such numbers.
When it comes to the economy, 52% said they approved of Trump’s handling of it, which is similar to Obama until August of 2009, only 7 months after taking office. Following that, Obama’s numbers were never quite as good.
Now, Obama had different advantages that Trump doesn’t have, such as the fake news media and most outspoken people supporting him and that helped him get elected. But similarly, Trump has different advantages that Obama didn’t have in his own reelection bid, namely the success of the economy and other things that we will talk about momentarily.
But before we move on to the juiciest details of the poll (yes, THESE NUMBERS aren’t even the worst news for Dems), I will finish off this section by mentioning that the number of those who said they “definitely” will be voting against Trump DROPPED from 57% to 53% since January. Sure, that number is still up there, but it’s falling and it’s contradicting the ongoing narrative of the Left: that Trump is an unpopular President and he will be soundly defeated come November of next year. Less and less people are saying they would “definitely” vote against Trump. That doesn’t necessarily mean they will vote FOR Trump, but that could mean less and less votes for Democrats too. One of the things that hurt Hillary in 2016 was lack of Democrat votes for her. Many were angry that Bernie got screwed out of being the nominee (he still would’ve lost even without the Super Delegate system, but the race was still rigged against him) and decided to either vote for Trump as a result or simply not vote. If that number continues to drop, voter turnout might once again be a problem for Democrats.
But it’s not just that number that might pose a problem for Democrat turnout in 2020. Let us now get into the actual policies that every Democrat has signed on to since even before the first debates took place: Medicare-for-All, open borders and decriminalizing illegal immigration, giving free healthcare to illegals, and reparations for slavery.
Ryan James Girdusky highlighted the results of the poll pretty well:
“Voters asked if they support Medicare for All as a replacement for private health insurance (good idea/bad idea): Registered voters: 40/55. Democrats: 64/31. Republicans: 14/83. Independents: 39/55. Whites: 38/56. Non-whites: 46/49. Gen X: 35/61.”
The only people that have a more favorable view of Medicare-for-All as a replacement of private health insurance are Democrats, and even then, there is a decent number of those who think it’s a bad idea. The key words here are “replacement of private health insurance”. Usually, on its own, Medicare-for-All polls pretty well, somewhere in the 60s and maybe 70s. However, as you start to dive into what exactly it would mean, such as replacing already existing private health insurance plans, support for it drops like a rock. This is why people like Kamala Harris flip-flop on this issue.
When it comes to giving free healthcare to illegals, Ryan highlighted:
“Is free healthcare for illegal immigrants a good idea/bad idea: Registered voters: 32/62. Democrats: 60/32. Republicans: 6/93. Independents: 27/67. Moderate Democrats: 43/47. Whites: 28/68. Non-whites: 43/51. Millennials/Gen Z: 45/51.”
Let’s not forget that every single Democrat signed on to the idea of giving illegals free healthcare. Well, according to this poll, most people HEAVILY DISAGREE with that idea. But let’s specifically look at two demographics.
You might’ve noticed that Ryan included Moderate Democrats into the mix. That is because the poll asked those who identified as “moderate” Democrats this question, and there were more moderates in the Democrat Party that disagreed with the idea than agreed with it. This is another number that could haunt Democrats come 2020 if it doesn’t change, and I don’t see much reason for it to change in a positive direction for Democrats. The candidates surely are not going to change their minds about it and the moderates that don’t want this might choose to at least sit out of this election once again, if not outright vote for Trump.
Time and time again, I have mentioned how more and more people are leaving the Democrat Party because of how far to the Left they have gone in recent time. This is some proof of that statement. Plenty of Democrats don’t like the direction the Party is going and will at least consider leaving it.
The other demographic to look at is the youngest generations, the Millennials and Gen Z. For even THEM to think free healthcare for illegals is a bad idea ought to wake up the Democrats to try and at least pretend this isn’t something they want. But since they will continue to believe the lie that the fake news media feeds them – that Donald Trump is screwed almost no matter what proposal is brought up from the Democrats – they will have no reason to change course, even if they are defeated in a landslide. In reality, if Trump wins by a massive margin (or even at all), the Democrats will once again cry foul and say that “the Russians did it again!” or something equally as nonsensical.
Moving on to decriminalizing border crossings, we find: “Registered voters: 27/67. Democrats: 45/47. Republicans: 10/87. Independents: 24/68. Moderate Dems: 34/58. Progressive Dems: 54/37. Whites: 26/68. Non-whites: 28/63. Millennials/Gen Z: 31/59.”
Once again, only one demographic had a positive view on it and that’s Progressive Democrats, and even then, a full 37%, more than one-in-three, still disagreed.
Finally, we reach slavery reparations where we find the following data: “Registered voters: 26/63. Democrats: 46/40. Republicans: 3/89. Independents: 23/65. Whites: 19/69. Non-whites: 40/50.”
Again, only Democrats had a positive view on it and even then, 40% didn’t.
All of these are issues the Democrats are trying to bring front-and-center into a debate not only amongst themselves but also with Donald Trump. All of these are issues they perceive are popular with the vast majority of Americans, but even a poll that OVERSAMPLED DEMOCRATS has pretty terrible news for them.
Most people don’t think these proposals are in any way, shape, manner or form a good idea for this country. Basically every single newsworthy policy item the Democrats have brought up is very unpopular with most Americans. And promising people that if they like their health insurance, they get to keep it isn’t going to work when your last President promised pretty much the same thing, only with doctors, and shattered that promise into pieces. (And yes, I know Biden has literally promised the same thing and it’s also not going to work for him).
So when you have candidates that all say they agree with these very unpopular items, a fake news media that will coddle them and say “everything is fine” when they are not fine for them, and numbers that show Donald Trump’s approval ratings are only going up and up, you have a recipe for nuclear meltdown in the DNC once Trump wins re-election.
Again, I see no reason for these numbers to change for the better for Democrats. And if the economy continues roaring as it is today and Trump continues doing great things for this country and if the Democrats continue sticking to their guns on highly unpopular policy items, I see no reason for Trump to lose come 2020.
And once again, I feel obligated to mention that we are still over a year away from that election, but these aren’t items that I think will magically be considered to be good ideas in that time span. No one wakes up one day holding a completely different view on anything. You might begin to change your mind about certain things over time, but free healthcare for illegals doesn’t seem to be a bad idea one day and a good one the next (because it is one of the most idiotic ideas I’ve ever heard of).
So if these numbers continue to show up as we draw closer and closer to the 2020 election (as I think they ought to), I don’t see any reasonable way for Democrats to actually beat Trump. Regardless, that doesn’t mean we are afforded the luxury of complacency. We must continue to pray to God that Trump will continue making America great again and will defeat the Satanic Democrats come election time.
“Ask, and it will be given to you; seek, and you will find; knock, and it will be opened to you.”
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